The stage is set for a dramatic finish in the American League Division Series as the Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners square off in a decisive Game 5 tonight at T-Mobile Park. After four intense matchups featuring dominant pitching, clutch hitting, and momentum shifts on both sides, only one team will move on to the American League Championship Series. Detroit forced the winner-take-all showdown with a commanding 9–3 victory in Game 4, while Seattle looks to reclaim the form that earned them early control of the series. With Tarik Skubal and George Kirby set to duel on the mound, everything is on the line in what promises to be a tense, unforgettable night of postseason baseball.
🆚 Pitching Matchup: Skubal vs. Kirby
Tarik Skubal (DET)
The Tigers will hand the ball to their ace, Tarik Skubal, one of baseball’s most dominant arms in 2025. The left-hander went 13–6 with a 2.21 ERA during the regular season, leading the AL in strikeout-to-walk ratio and earning strong consideration for the Cy Young Award.
Skubal has been consistent throughout the postseason, relying on pinpoint command and a lethal changeup to neutralize opposing lineups. Detroit manager A.J. Hinch is expected to ride Skubal deep into the game, with the bullpen ready to bridge the late innings if needed.
George Kirby (SEA)
Seattle counters with George Kirby, who will start on extended rest. Kirby threw well in Game 1, holding Detroit scoreless through four innings before surrendering a home run to Kerry Carpenter. The right-hander posted a 10–8 record with a 4.21 ERA this season but has shown the ability to rise to the occasion in big moments—most notably his scoreless outing in the 2022 postseason.
Mariners manager Scott Servais praised Kirby’s preparation and poise heading into this high-pressure start, noting that his efficiency could be crucial against Detroit’s disciplined hitters.
🔑 Key Players to Watch
Detroit Tigers
Javier Báez: The veteran shortstop powered the Tigers in Game 4 with a home run and four RBIs. His ability to deliver in clutch spots could again be decisive.
Riley Greene: Detroit’s young star homered in Game 4 and continues to provide balance and power in the heart of the order.
Troy Melton: The rookie reliever delivered three strong innings in Game 4 and could play a pivotal role again if Skubal exits early.
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodríguez: Seattle’s superstar center fielder remains the engine of the offense. A big swing or stolen base from Rodríguez could tilt the momentum.
Cal Raleigh: The catcher’s power bat and leadership have been essential for the Mariners all year. He’ll look to spark the lineup against Skubal.
Andrés Muñoz: Seattle’s flame-throwing closer could be called upon early if the game turns tight late.
⚾️ What’s at Stake
The Tigers are looking to advance to the ALCS for the first time since 2013, capping off their remarkable rebuild under Hinch. Meanwhile, the Mariners are chasing back-to-back trips to the ALCS—a rare feat for a franchise long defined by postseason heartbreak.
Both clubs have thrived in do-or-die settings this year, with Detroit relying on its steady pitching depth and Seattle leaning on its bullpen and home-field advantage.
🧨 X-Factors and Game Dynamics
Early Offense: Detroit’s success often hinges on striking early. If the Tigers can get to Kirby in the first few innings, they can quiet the Seattle crowd and put pressure on the bullpen.
Skubal’s Efficiency: The Tigers ace will likely need to work deep into the game to keep the bullpen fresh.
Bullpen Execution: Both teams have had strong relief performances this postseason. The first late-inning mistake could decide the series.
Home Crowd Energy: T-Mobile Park will be electric, and Seattle’s record at home (51–30 during the regular season) could play a role.
🔮 Prediction
Game 5 has all the makings of a classic postseason duel. With two talented starters, deep bullpens, and explosive lineups, expect a tense, low-scoring affair where every pitch counts.
Detroit’s ace and momentum from Game 4 give the Tigers a slight edge.
Prediction: Tigers 4, Mariners 3
Skubal’s command and Detroit’s balanced attack could be just enough to push the Tigers into the American League Championship Series—but with Seattle’s home crowd roaring, this one might go down to the final pitch.